Favors Top · Overall estimate
Mount
Top player sits astride the torso. Mount scores 4 points under IBJJF rules.
Where does this position usually go next?
- Roadmap
- Volume 1
- Roles
- Top + Bottom
- Formats
- Gi and No-Gi
Understand the position
Understand the position
Top
Sits on Bottom's torso with a knee on each side, the most dominant top position.
Bottom
Is flat on their back underneath, trying to bridge, shrimp, and escape.
Quick Read
Understand this position in 10 seconds.
Favors Top
59%
Top establishes the stronger next position or finishes the exchange.
Favors Bottom
41%
Bottom establishes the stronger next position or finishes the exchange.
Largest group: Favors Top (59%). Most common individual transition: Bottom recovers half guard (23%).
What does "favors" mean?
It is not a player's chance of winning the match. It describes which player benefits from the estimated next outcome of this position.
The distribution
Overall Outcome
Outcome distribution for Mount
Favors Top 59%
Favors Bottom 41%
One-step map
Where It Goes Next
- From Mount: Top takes the back, 21 percent overall, Favors Top.
- From Mount: Top submits, 20 percent overall, Favors Top.
- From Mount: Top falls to side / knee on belly, 10 percent overall, Favors Top.
- From Mount: Bottom turtles / top re-attacks, 8 percent overall, Favors Top.
- From Mount: Bottom recovers half guard, 23 percent overall, Favors Bottom.
- From Mount: Bottom recovers full guard, 10 percent overall, Favors Bottom.
- From Mount: Bottom bridges and reverses, 8 percent overall, Favors Bottom.
These are possible next events, not guaranteed paths to another named position. Open a transition below for a plain-language explanation.
Every outcome
Transition Breakdown
Favors Top
Favors Top · Overall estimate
Favors Top · Overall estimate
Favors Top · Overall estimate
Favors Bottom
Favors Bottom · Overall estimate
Favors Bottom · Overall estimate
Favors Bottom · Overall estimate
Compare the formats
Gi vs No-Gi
Gi
Fabric grips help the top player stabilize and finish, so submissions are slightly more common.
No-Gi
The bottom player turns and gives up the back more often, making back takes the most common top outcome.
In practice
What This Means on the Mat
For Top
Stay balanced and patient. Submissions and back takes come from the bottom player's escape attempts.
For Bottom
Protect your neck and elbows first. Half guard recovery is the most reliable escape route.
Methodology
How to Read These Numbers
These percentages are coaching estimates informed by published research, not measured probabilities from a single dataset.
EstimatedThe Simplex Motus Position Transition Roadmap, Volume 1 supplies the baseline, Gi, and No-Gi values. The overall split groups the baseline outcomes by which role they favor. Published studies provide context for the estimates, not direct measurements of these exact exit percentages.
Gi means grappling with a uniform jacket and pants; No-Gi means grappling without that uniform. “Overall” is the roadmap's baseline estimate, not an average calculated from the two formats.
Limitations
The cited studies provide context, but do not report these exact position-exit rates. Without raw counts or a reproducible calculation for the displayed percentages, these estimates should not be treated as measured frequencies or predictions for a particular match.
Research trail
Evidence & Sources
The original roadmap, Volume 1 (PDF) provides the displayed baseline, Gi, and No-Gi values and assigns the references below to Mount. Public studies do not track every specific position exit shown here. Where direct measurements are unavailable, the roadmap uses evidence-constrained coaching estimates. No sample size, raw counts, or reproducible calculation for these exact percentages is provided in the document. Treat them as a directional training guide, not observed rates or a prediction for a match.
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