14%
Favors Scorer · Overall estimate
Gi10%
No-Gi18%
Standing / Neutral
Both athletes are on their feet. There is no top or bottom yet, so the roles are Scorer, Defender, and Neutral.
Where does this position usually go next?
- Roadmap
- Volume 2
- Roles
- Scorer + Defender
- Formats
- Gi and No-Gi
Understand the position
Understand the position
Scorer
The Scorer is whichever player lands the takedown or pulls into a scoring position.
Defender
The Defender is the player trying to stop the takedown and stay on their feet.
Quick Read
Understand this position in 10 seconds.
Favors Scorer
32%
Scorer establishes the stronger next position or finishes the exchange.
Favors Defender
4%
Defender establishes the stronger next position or finishes the exchange.
Neutral
64%
Neither role establishes a clearly superior next position. The exchange can still move forward.
Largest group: Neutral (64%). Most common individual transition: Guard pull (42%).
What does "favors" mean?
It is not a player's chance of winning the match. It describes which player benefits from the estimated next outcome of this position.
The distribution
Overall Outcome
Outcome distribution for Standing / Neutral
Favors Scorer 32%
Favors Defender 4%
Neutral 64%
One-step map
Where It Goes Next
Sort by
- From Standing / Neutral: Takedown lands in guard / half guard, 14 percent overall, Favors Scorer.
- From Standing / Neutral: Takedown lands in a pin, 8 percent overall, Favors Scorer.
- From Standing / Neutral: Snap-down / go-behind → front headlock, 6 percent overall, Favors Scorer.
- From Standing / Neutral: Takedown scramble → back take, 4 percent overall, Favors Scorer.
- From Standing / Neutral: Defender counters and ends on top, 4 percent overall, Favors Defender.
- From Standing / Neutral: Guard pull, 42 percent overall, Neutral.
- From Standing / Neutral: Reset / no exchange, 20 percent overall, Neutral.
- From Standing / Neutral: Submission from standing, 2 percent overall, Neutral.
These are possible next events, not guaranteed paths to another named position. Open a transition below for a plain-language explanation.
Every outcome
Transition Breakdown
Favors Scorer
8%
Favors Scorer · Overall estimate
Gi5%
No-Gi10%
6%
Favors Scorer · Overall estimate
Gi3%
No-Gi8%
4%
Favors Scorer · Overall estimate
Gi2%
No-Gi6%
Favors Defender
4%
Favors Defender · Overall estimate
Gi3%
No-Gi5%
Neutral
42%
Neutral · Overall estimate
Gi55%
No-Gi30%
20%
Neutral · Overall estimate
Gi20%
No-Gi20%
2%
Neutral · Overall estimate
Gi2%
No-Gi3%
Compare the formats
Gi vs No-Gi
Gi10%No-Gi18%
Gi5%No-Gi10%
Gi3%No-Gi8%
Gi2%No-Gi6%
Gi3%No-Gi5%
Gi55%No-Gi30%
Gi20%No-Gi20%
Gi2%No-Gi3%
Gi
The roadmap estimates guard pulls are more common in the Gi; the neutral category accounts for most exits.
No-Gi
It estimates more takedowns and front-headlock entries in No-Gi than in the Gi.
In practice
What This Means on the Mat
For Scorer
Win the first clean exchange and land in top control, behind, or in front headlock.
For Defender
Defend, counter, pull guard on your own terms, or reset.
Methodology
How to Read These Numbers
These percentages are coaching estimates informed by published research, not measured probabilities from a single dataset.
EstimatedThe Simplex Motus Position Transition Roadmap, Volume 2 supplies the baseline, Gi, and No-Gi values. The overall split groups the baseline outcomes by which role they favor. Published studies provide context for the estimates, not direct measurements of these exact exit percentages.
Gi means grappling with a uniform jacket and pants; No-Gi means grappling without that uniform. “Overall” is the roadmap's baseline estimate, not an average calculated from the two formats.
Limitations
The cited studies provide context, but do not report these exact position-exit rates. Without raw counts or a reproducible calculation for the displayed percentages, these estimates should not be treated as measured frequencies or predictions for a particular match.
Research trail
Evidence & Sources
The original roadmap, Volume 2 (PDF) provides the displayed baseline, Gi, and No-Gi values and assigns the references below to Standing / Neutral. Public studies do not track every specific position exit shown here. Where direct measurements are unavailable, the roadmap uses evidence-constrained coaching estimates. No sample size, raw counts, or reproducible calculation for these exact percentages is provided in the document. Treat them as a directional training guide, not observed rates or a prediction for a match.
Continue exploring
Explore the Roadmap
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Standing / Neutral
Explore Related Positions
Related positions are useful positions to explore next and are not necessarily direct transitions shown in the roadmap.
Volume 1
Closed Guard Bottom player has both legs locked around the top player's torso, limiting posture and mobility.Side Control Top player pins across the chest from the side with the legs cleared.Half Guard Bottom player traps one of the top player's legs. It sits between guard and a completed pass.Knee on Belly Top player controls from the side with a knee or shin across the torso while staying mobile.Mount Top player sits astride the torso. Mount scores 4 points under IBJJF rules.Turtle Bottom player is on knees and elbows or hands with the back facing the top player.Back Control Top player controls from behind with chest-to-back connection and hooks or equivalent control.
Volume 2
Open Guard Bottom player controls distance with legs and grips without locking closed guard, including DLR, RDLR, spider, lasso, and single-leg X.Butterfly Guard Bottom player is seated with inside hooks under the top player's thighs, usually with upper-body connection.North-South Top player pins from above the head, chest to chest, facing the bottom player's legs. It is part of the side-control family.Front Headlock Controller holds the head, often with an arm, while the defender is bent over or turtled. It sits between standing, turtle, and the back.Leg Entanglement / Ashi Garami The legs are connected in a control system such as ashi garami, outside ashi, saddle/411, or 50-50. Top and bottom labels do not apply.